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At the surface, the Indian Ocean does not appear different. Waves form, reefs breathe, currents continue their course. Yet within its very structure, something is changing: the salinity of certain regions in the southern Indian Ocean has been measurably and persistently declining for several decades.
A Change Detected Over Decades : This shift is not based on isolated observations. It relies on long-term oceanographic datasets dating back to the 1960s, compiled in the World Ocean Database maintained by NOAA:
https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/world-ocean-database These trends have been confirmed and refined by the Argo program, a global network of autonomous floats measuring temperature and salinity throughout the water column since the early 2000s: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2009.03.004 Analyses indicate that parts of the southern Indian Ocean show a significant decrease in surface salinity. This signal fits within a broader intensification of the global hydrological cycle under climate change, as highlighted by Durack et al. (2012) in Science: https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.1212222 and reinforced by the latest IPCC assessment (AR6 – Working Group I): https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/ While global mean ocean salinity remains close to 35 PSU (Practical Salinity Units), that average conceals growing regional contrasts. Subtropical regions dominated by evaporation tend to become saltier, whereas certain tropical zones and parts of the southern Indian Ocean are becoming fresher. This pattern aligns with climate projections indicating that wet regions become wetter and dry regions become drier (IPCC, 2021).
Why Salinity Is a Fundamental Physical Parameter : Salinity, together with temperature, determines seawater density. Density governs water mass dynamics and drives the global thermohaline circulation, as described by Talley (2013) in Oceanography:
https://doi.org/10.5670/oceanog.2013.07 Cold, salty water is dense and tends to sink, contributing to deep circulation that redistributes heat, nutrients, and oxygen across the planet. Warmer or fresher water is lighter and remains near the surface. If salinity declines, density decreases. Vertical mixing becomes less efficient and stratification intensifies. Stronger stratification limits exchanges between nutrient-rich deep waters and the sunlit surface layer. These exchanges are essential to the functioning of the ocean’s biological pump, a key process regulating carbon uptake and marine productivity, discussed in detail in the IPCC AR6 report: https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/chapter/chapter-5/
Potential Consequences for Marine Ecosystems : The direct biological effects of moderate salinity decline vary by species and region. However, the underlying physical mechanisms are well established. Persistent changes in stratification can influence nutrient availability, alter plankton distribution, and cascade upward through marine food webs.
In the Indian Ocean, where coral reefs and coastal fisheries play major ecological and socio-economic roles, these structural shifts add to existing pressures from warming and acidification (IPCC, 2021). They represent a gradual reconfiguration — less visible than coral bleaching events, but potentially just as consequential over time.
A Marker of an Intensifying : Water CycleSurface salinity is now recognized as a robust tracer of hydrological cycle intensification. A warmer atmosphere can hold more water vapor, modifying precipitation patterns and increasing regional contrasts (IPCC, 2021).
In the case of the Indian Ocean, the observed freshening reflects a progressive reorganization of the system. It is not immediately visible to the naked eye, but it influences water mass stability, regional circulation, and potentially atmosphere–ocean interactions, including those that contribute to monsoon dynamics.
A Climate Paradox — Freshening in a Warming : World At first glance, the idea that parts of the Indian Ocean are “freshening” may sound contradictory in the context of global warming. But freshening does not mean cooling. It refers to a decline in salinity, not temperature. In fact, ocean warming and surface freshening are often linked through the same mechanism: an intensified hydrological cycle.
As the atmosphere warms, it holds more moisture, leading to stronger rainfall in some regions and enhanced evaporation in others. Where precipitation and freshwater inputs increase, surface waters become less saline even as they continue to warm. The result is not a cooler ocean, but a more stratified one — warmer at the surface, fresher at the top, and increasingly layered. This apparent paradox illustrates how climate change does not produce uniform responses, but rather a complex reorganization of ocean structure. Why the Ocean Is Salty — And Why That Matters : To understand why these variations are significant, it is useful to revisit a fundamental question: why is the ocean salty? Ocean salinity results from a dynamic balance established over millions of years. Rainwater dissolves minerals from continental rocks. Rivers transport dissolved ions to the sea. Submarine hydrothermal systems add additional chemical elements. When seawater evaporates, the water leaves but the salts remain. This cycle, explained by NOAA: https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/facts/whysalty.html has maintained a relatively stable global salt balance on geological timescales. A rapid regional shift in salinity does not mean the ocean is “losing its salt” globally. Rather, it indicates that the distribution of freshwater is changing enough to alter the physical structure of the water column.
A Silent but Structural Transformation : Public discussions about ocean change often focus on rising temperatures or acidification. Yet salinity reveals a complementary and essential dimension: how accumulated energy in the climate system redistributes freshwater and reshapes ocean structure.
If temperature tells us how much the ocean is warming, salinity tells us how it is reorganizing. Beneath the apparently unchanged surface of the Indian Ocean, this transformation is already measurable. It is gradual, physically consistent with climate projections, and potentially decisive for marine ecosystems and circulation patterns in the decades ahead. Yesterday, while reading “Vive la resilience: don’t write off our corals just yet” published by Oceanographic Magazine, I felt an unexpected mix of emotions — a sense of genuine hope, knowing that some reefs still show signs of resistance, and yet, a deep lingering doubt. Far be it from me to question scientific voices — I know the rigour, the countless hours spent observing, measuring, understanding. But this optimism, as necessary as it is, raises a fundamental question: how far can we speak of hope without lying to ourselves? When scientists say “not all reefs are lost,” is it a cry of resistance… or a sign of an institutional need to stay heard ? As I read those words, I couldn’t help thinking about what I see underwater every week: bleaching spreading like a slow tide, colonies dying quietly, and parts of the lagoon where life simply fades away. Maybe not everything is lost — but we must still have the courage to admit that some of it already is. Scientists Live on ProjectsIn science, hope isn’t just a feeling — it’s a condition of survival. To secure funding, you must convince others that solutions exist, that research can still turn the tide. A project titled “the end of coral reefs” will never receive a grant; one that speaks of “resilience” or “regeneration” almost always will. It’s human, even understandable. But when science becomes dependent on narratives of hope, the gravity of reality gets blurred. And the risk is clear: truth — the uncomfortable kind — dissolves into the language of promises. Hope as an Academic Survival Strategy In a world oversaturated with bad news, hope has become a tool of communication. Institutions need it — to keep public support, to soothe fear, to maintain trust. So we speak of resilience, of rebirth, of corals adapting to change. All of that exists, of course; some reefs do resist better than others. But when we repeat too often that “nature can heal itself,” we normalize irreversible damage. If hope becomes an academic strategy, we are no longer talking about science — we are talking about narrative survival: a discourse fine-tuned to reassure funders, governments, and sometimes our own conscience. Science Under Narrative Influence Science is never completely neutral; it evolves within its era, language, and politics. When a study highlights signs of resilience rather than signs of collapse, it’s often a matter of framing, not manipulation. But the accumulation of these choices creates a trend — a form of science shaped by its narrative. Not because it lies, but because it selects what to show to avoid despair. It’s subtle, almost invisible. Yet it changes everything. It turns science into a kind of benevolent storytelling, where lucidity becomes risky, and hope an unspoken moral duty. Behind that narrative, however, lies a simple reality: without funding, research stops. Scientists must persuade their sponsors — public or private — that their work will lead to solutions, not just acknowledgements of failure. In this system, the language of hope becomes almost a currency: it unlocks grants, European programs, political endorsements. In other words, to keep working, one must keep believing. The Sincere but Biased Faith Most scientists I meet are sincere. They believe in what they do — and they still hope. And thankfully so: without that flame, who would dive again on a dying reef? But sometimes that faith in coral resilience becomes so strong it blurs critical distance. We begin to confuse wanting to believe with seeing what is. And that’s where danger begins: when hope takes the place of truth, we stop measuring the true extent of loss. We talk about regeneration without admitting that it takes decades — sometimes centuries — for a reef to rebuild. Resilient corals do exist — often deeper, between 20 and 50 meters. But that resilience raises another question: at what ecological cost do they survive? A deep reef doesn’t offer the same light, the same warmth, nor the same biodiversity as a shallow one. If the future of coral shifts to those depths, the balance of tropical lagoons will change entirely: herbivorous fish disappear from the shallows, food chains reconfigure, and coastal fisheries — lifelines for thousands of families — become increasingly unstable. In other words, coral resilience does not guarantee human resilience. It merely pushes life to places where we can no longer see it. When Everyone Speaks, Who Tells the Truth?In a world where funding, science, media, and politics constantly collide, the role of the field reporter — the one who goes, sees, and listens — has never been more essential. Because even when science remains sincere, it is rarely free from influence. Many scientists I’ve met are in the water, day after day, facing the same realities we do. Their commitment is unquestionable. But the system they work within — the race for grants, visibility, and recognition — can shape how truth is told. When your next expedition depends on a funder’s approval, when “hope” sounds better in a proposal than “collapse,” it becomes harder to speak without filters. Some projects blur the line between research and personal ambition, between fieldwork and privilege. It’s not corruption; it’s the quiet pressure of a system that rewards optimism more than honesty. When scientists publish opinion pieces or “hope essays,” they often do so with sincerity — but without contradiction, or without the space for facts and data that challenge their narrative. Few journals give room to opposing analyses on the same topic. The result is not misinformation, but imbalance. A subtle shift where communication starts to replace truth. And this is precisely where the work of independent photographers, divers, and field journalists matters. Not to oppose science, but to complete it. To bring back the tangible — what the ocean actually looks like, smells like, feels like. To show that truth doesn’t always come from a lab or a grant, but sometimes from the quiet evidence of being there, eyes open, camera in hand. Hope is vital — it drives us to act, to protect, to educate.
But it should never become a filter that softens reality. Because behind every optimistic sentence are images I can’t forget: corals white as ash, fish circling in emptiness, once-vibrant zones now silent. They are not even “white corals” anymore — the coral is gone, replaced by bare rock. Between hope and alarmism lies another path — that of truth. To tell what we see, without exaggeration, without dilution. To remind ourselves that resilience does not erase human impact, and that survival at depth does not equal recovery at the surface. Yes, some reefs endure. But most decline. And to speak only of resilience, without showing that decline, is to risk normalizing disaster. Because in the end, doesn’t this constant optimism serve, ironically, as the victory of climate sceptics? By reassuring, we disarm. By saying “not all is lost,” we delay urgency. And by the time truth finds its voice again, the ocean will already have changed its face.
1) What happened last week
From 5–15 August 2025 in Geneva, delegates reconvened the fifth negotiating session on a UN plastics treaty. This was INC-5.2—the second half of the same session that began in Busan (25 Nov–1 Dec 2024, INC-5.1). Same meeting, resumed from the existing working text. Once again, talks ended without consensus or a final text. The fault line.
By the numbers (per day, order-of-magnitude)
2) What the agreement aimed for—and why
The UN mandate is for a legally binding treaty that covers the entire life cycle of plastics: design (re-use, repairability, recycled content), production (limits on virgin volumes; control of problematic polymers/additives), consumption(phasing out the most harmful items), end-of-life (collection, recycling, EPR, trade in waste), and microplastics. The ambition is simple: without new policies, production and waste climb steeply toward 2060, and leakage to nature rises with them. Caps and chemical controls are the upstream levers many countries want on the table. Free Underwater Photography Guide
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Mastering Underwater Photography – Free Guide! Explore the depths of the ocean and refine your underwater photography skills with this exclusive free guide! Learn how to choose the right gear, master composition techniques, and use light effectively to capture stunning marine images. Whether you're a beginner or an experienced photographer, this booklet will help you take your underwater shots to the next level. Sound of Silence : The Ocean Quest French Edition
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Launch Offer: €35 → Now only €28 Until July 15th, get your copy of Sound of Silence – The Ocean Quest at a special launch price. Sound of Silence – The Ocean Quest Le livre photo interactif sur la beauté et la fragilité de l’océan Pendant plus de 10 ans, le photographe sous-marin Serge Melesan — plusieurs fois primé (National Geographic Traveller, Ocean Art, UPY, Ocean Geographic Awards…) — a exploré les océans à la recherche de rencontres rares : requins-tigres, dauphins, baleines, tortues… Ce livre numérique immersif mêle photographies fine art, récits de terrain, vidéos intégrées et textes engagés. Ce n’est pas un livre sur la mer, c'est une ode au vivant. Format : Livre photo numérique (EPUB) Nombre de pages : 139 Taille du fichier : 204 Mo Contenus : Photos HD et vidéos intégrées Zones couvertes : Mayotte, Madagascar, La Réunion, Polynésie, Zanzibar, Nouvelle-Calédonie Langues : Français et Anglais Compatibilité : iPad, Apple Books, Kobo, etc. Après le paiement, le lien de téléchargement s’affiche immédiatement à l’écran et vous est aussi envoyé par email. Sound of Silence : The Ocean Quest English Edition
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Launch Offer: €35 → Now only €28 Until July 15th, get your copy of Sound of Silence – The Ocean Quest at a special launch price. Sound of Silence – The Ocean Quest An interactive photo book about the beauty and fragility of the ocean For over a decade, underwater photographer Serge Melesan — multi-awarded (National Geographic Traveller, Ocean Art, UPY, Ocean Geographic Awards…) — has explored the Pacific and Indian Oceans, capturing rare and moving encounters with tiger sharks, dolphins, whales, turtles… This immersive digital book blends fine art photography, field stories, integrated videos and powerful narratives. It’s not a book about the ocean. A celebration of life. Format: Interactive digital photo book (EPUB) Pages: 139 File size: 204 MB Content: HD photos and embedded YouTube videos Locations covered: Mayotte, Madagascar, La Réunion, Polynesia, Zanzibar, New Caledonia Languages: English and French Compatible with: iPad, Apple Books, Kobo, etc. After payment, your download link appears instantly on the confirmation screen and is also sent to your email.
3) In practice, at sea: risks & consequences
FAQ — Plastics & the OceanDo plastics dissolve in the ocean? How long does a plastic bottle take to break down?Plastics don’t “dissolve.” Most (like PET bottles) fragment under UV and abrasion into micro- and nanoplastics. Estimates for a plastic bottle at sea range from ~100 to 500+ years, highly dependent on sun, heat, waves, and biofouling. The fragments persist and can circulate indefinitely. What are the main harms of ocean plastics to wildlife?
What are microplastics and nanoplastics?Microplastics are plastic particles <5 mm; nanoplastics are typically <1 µm. They come from fragmentation of larger items, synthetic fibers, tire wear, microbeads, and industrial pellets. They enter marine food webs from plankton upward. What do we know about health impacts on humans?Micro- and nanoplastics have been detected in some human tissues and fluids. Lab and animal studies suggest possible inflammation, oxidative stress, and exposure to additives (e.g., phthalates, BPA) with endocrine activity. Real-world dose–response and long-term effects remain under study; a precautionary approach is warranted. Are biodegradable or compostable plastics a solution at sea?Not reliably. Most “compostable” plastics need industrial conditions (heat, humidity, microbes) that the ocean lacks. “Oxo-degradable” plastics fragment but don’t truly biodegrade in marine settings. At sea, these materials can persist and behave much like conventional plastics. What is ghost gear?Lost, abandoned or discarded fishing gear (nets, lines, traps). Made from durable synthetics, it can continue catching and killing wildlife for years, while shedding microplastics. Which products drive most ocean leakage?Globally, the heaviest contributors include single-use packaging (bottles, caps, wrappers, sachets, polystyrene foodware), cigarette filters, and lost fishing gear. Leakage hotspots are typically near rivers, dense coasts, and regions with limited waste services. What actions reduce ocean plastic now?
4) What next? Diplomats and observers see a few paths:
How Heatwaves Will Reshape Our Lives – And Why We Need to Talk About It Now
In a previous article, I questioned how our brain perceives—or ignores—climate change. Why so much inaction despite clear warning signs?
As a photographer committed to conservation, this question haunts me: do my images still have an impact? And if so, should they showcase beauty… or danger? Neuroscientist Albert Moukheiber reminds us: to raise awareness, we need to talk about tangible, close, and concrete events. And what’s more tangible than a heatwave? I’m also an economics teacher. And when I hear business leaders on the radio expressing concern about declining profits during heatwaves, I realize something: to talk about ecology to some people, we first need to talk about money. Maybe if we took the time to observe the real cost of heatwaves, we’d understand that climate change isn’t a distant abstraction… but a present economic, social, and human variable. And a global issue, not just a national one.
WHY IS IT GETTING HOTTER? WHERE DO MODERN HEATWAVES COME FROM ?
Since 1970, the frequency of heatwaves has increased 5 to 10 times depending on the region.
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Serge Melesan
Underwater & Fine Art Ocean Photographer Specialist in Fine Art Ocean Photography. Published in Oceanographic Magazine & Earth.org. National Geographic Traveller – Portfolio Winner (2023). Archives
Février 2026
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